Slot variance explained

slot variance explained

What is slot variance and why is it so important? Slot variance (also called volatility) is an indicator of how often huge (or even mega) prizes are won when playing that slot.

A slot with a high variance has more potential to pay out huge prizes than one with low volatility. When playing low or medium variance slots you can, on rare occasions, maybe win up to 100x to 500x of your bet.

Compare that to some high variance slots where you have winnings up to 3,000x, 5,000x or even a mind-blowing 10,000x your bet. Imagine having staked $10 a spin. In that case, you will win $100,000!

High variance slots, when it comes down to it, offer you an “all or nothing” scenario. Win massive payouts or lose your shirt in a hurry.

Players that love and play the high variance slots don’t see this as a problem. They know exactly what they are up against.

This is precisely what the high variance slot players are playing for. No messing around with all these small or medium little prizes that in the end, don’t amount to much.

High variance slots players are always chasing that one amazingly large payout, that record-setting prize.

High variance of a slot versus high payout rate (RTP)

Don’t make the mistake of confusing the payout rate (Theoretical Return to Player or Theoretical RTP) of a slot with the variance of said slot.

The payout rate says something about how much a slot pays back to the player, on average, over the long term.

Slot variance is an entirely different beast. The variance of a slot is an indicator of how different value payments are spread out and is an excellent indicator of the risk-factor of a slot. High variance equals high risk, and low variance means low risk.

It is easy to see why playing a slot with a high payout rate is always advantageous. If the slot has a payout rate of 97%, then, in the long run, $€ 97 out of every $€ 100 played, is returned to the player.

In summary:

  • The payout rate tells you something about how much a slot pays back to the player
  • The variance gives you information about the spread of the value of the payments
  • Low variance slots: lots of small prizes and, on occasion, a medium one
  • High variance slots: less small or medium prizes and every once in a while, a massive reward
  • Slot variance is an indicator of how risky the slot is

Comparing the variance of low variance slots against high variance slots

We analysed six slots: 3 popular low variance slots and three popular high variance slots.

The three low variance slots, we have picked are:

The three high variance slots we have chosen are:

Slot variance explained jammin jars

How high are the prizes of high and low variance slots?

So often do you hear about “low variance”, “medium variance” or “high variance” slots?

Unfortunately, explanations reach not much further than:

  • This low variance slot pays out tiny prizes only
  • This exhilarating slot rewards huge prizes
  • This slot pays mega prizes….

Are you not curious to know a bit more about the differences?

For example:

  • How often are large, huge or mega prizes paid out?
  • How big are the prizes?
  • How realistic is it, to win such an enormous prize?

We performed surveys of hundreds of thousands of real money spins on high and low variance slots, to find out more about this phenomenon.

What did we learn? Well, for starters, we learned that slot variance is not only about the maximum size of the winnings. How often these massive prizes are paid out is equally as important.

slot variance explanation

What size prizes do high variance slots payout? How often are these paid out?

Let’s start with the three high variance slots of choice: Jammin’ Jars, Book of Dead and Reactoonz.

The table below shows how often several types of prizes (from small to mega prizes) were paid out during our test runs.

slot-variance-1-prizes-of-high-variance-slots

What makes Jammin’ Jars an extremely high variance slot, is the fact that mega prizes (1,000x your total bet or more) are paid out much more often than the two other volatile slots: Book of Dead or Reactoonz.

For example, rewards of 1,000x to 2,000x the total bet are paid out once every 20,000 spins with Jammin’ Jars. For Book of Dead, it is once every 100,000 turns, and for Reactoonz it is once every 50,000 spins.

Don’t forget that very large prizes (250x to 500x the total bet) are also paid out often by Jammin’Jars: once every 5,000 spins!

Book of Dead is a high variance slot. The chances of winning mega prizes (1,000x to 10,000x the total bet) are smaller than with Jammin’ Jars, which is the main difference with Jammin’ Jars.

Book of Dead is more a high variance slot, instead of an extremely high variance slot, as these massive prizes are paid out less often.

Reactoonz is a spectacular slot! In more than half of the times (55% of the spins), you get a prize! Reactoonz is a high variance slot: it pays out huge and mega prizes, more often than Book of Dead. We have not observed prizes of 5,000x the total bet.

what is slot variance

What size prizes do low variance slots payout? How often are these paid out?

The table below shows how often several types of prizes (from small to mega prizes) are paid out for three low variance slots: Blood Suckers, Starburst and Jumanji.

slot-variance-2-prizes-of-low-variance-slots

If you play Blood Suckers, don’t expect winning anything higher than 500x your bet. Never say never, but if you do, it will be a lifetime miracle.

Blood Suckers stands out for its high Theoretical RTP, which is 98%. Bloodsuckers pays out lots of medium-sized prizes (20x to 100x the total bet).

The story for Starburst is quite similar: lots of medium-sized prizes and some significant prizes. Not so, when it comes to huge rewards, let alone mega jackpots. When we spun 5,000 times with Starburst, the maximum prize we got, did not even top 70x the total bet. How low is that?!

Jumanji has a bit more variance than the Blood Suckers and Starburst. Huge prizes occasionally hit when you play Jumanji: these are incredibly unusual though. Besides, if you hit, expect something in the range of 500x to 1,000x the total bet. Certainly not a prize of, say, 5,000x the total bet.

Jumanji has more variance than Blood Suckers or Starburst, though. Jumanji is more a medium/low variance slot.

How much of the total wins are paid out in small and large prizes?

Another way to look at the differences between low and high variance slots is by looking at how much of the total prize money, is paid in small, medium, large or mega prizes.

The graph below shows the differences between the six slots.

slot-variance-3-share-of-prizes-payout

You see that for Jammin’ Jars (around 20% of the total wins are paid out in prizes of at least 500x the bet (red-coloured bars).

For Reactoonz and Book of Dead, these shares are around 8% and 4%, less but still substantial.

Looking further at Jammin’ Jars, you see that only about half of the total prize pool is paid out in prizes up to 50x the bet (see green coloured bars). Compare that to the lower variance slots of Starburst and Blood Suckers where almost 90% of the total, is paid out in the smaller prizes (up to 50x the total bet).

When is a slot low variance and when is it considered high variance?

What makes a slot get the label of “high variance” or “low variance”?

High variance slots pay out more massive wins (of at least 1,000x the total bet) as opposed to low variance slots, where the most substantial prizes (seldom) exceed 250x the total stake, let alone higher than that.

Medium variance slots have a maximum prize of 250x to 500x the total bet. Rarely a prize above 500x the total bet.

Every slot has a different payout table. The highest variance slot (Jammin’ Jars) is so exceptional, not only because it pays out the mega prizes, but mainly because it pays these much more often than other high variance slots.

The advantages of low variance slots are that large prizes of 20x to 100x the total bet, are paid out much more often than with high variance slots. The high variance slots like to save the cash for the real massive prizes!

10 great tips on how to beat an online casino

10-great-tips-how-to-beat-an-online-casino

One of the questions every gambler asks himself regularly is “How can I beat the casino?”

Of course, everyone knows that an online casino always wins in the long run. There’s no need to be under any illusions about that. Every casino game has a built-in house edge.

However, some players win more from the casino than others. And that’s because these players make better choices. We regularly play at online casinos and not only win quite often, but also receive handsome amounts of money as payouts. Not always, but we are convinced that we win more often than others.

Top 10 tips to beat the casino

We share our ten best tips on how to beat the online casino. You may not always succeed, but by using these tips, you will beat the casino more often than before. We hope you will use these tips to your advantage!

Tip 1. Only play at reliable online casinos

Right of the bat, this first tip is the most important one. Make sure that you are interacting with a reliable online casino. That is the only way that you can be sure that casino games are reliable and fair. And you will also know that your money (and therefore your winnings!) are safe.

Furthermore, you know you’ll want to get your money quickly and without hassle when you make a withdrawal. We regularly receive emails from players who have played at an unreliable casino and can forget about ever seeing their money again.

Almost just as important: a good helpdesk, that will assist you adequately should a problem arise.

Tip 2. Get to know the rules of the game

Make sure you understand how a game works before you play it. If you’re going to play blackjack, make sure you know when to pass, double up or buy extra.

Applying the optimal Blackjack strategy brings down the house advantage by several percentage points.

For example, do you know the difference between American Roulette (with a house edge that is twice as high) and European Roulette (low house edge)? There are definitely types of Roulette you want to avoid.

Or how about what the real odds are of hitting the 500 x payout at Lightning Roulette? You might be surprised when you find out how often players actually win this 500 x top win on this very popular live casino game from Evolution Gaming.

If you play slots, always play with practice money first to get a good feel for the slot. Does the slot machine have a low or a high variance? Make sure you always choose slots with the best payout rate.

10-great-tips-how-to-beat-an-online-casino-progressive jackpot slots

Tip 3. Do not play progressive jackpot slots

Progressive Jackpot Slots such as Mega Moolah, Mega Fortune and Divine Fortune are the biggest cash cow for online casinos.

That’s because a large part of the bet (sometimes up to 7%!) is withheld and goes to the progressive jackpot. As a result, it’s almost impossible to win on progressive jackpot slots, unless you win that big prize. But that chance is minimal.

If you still want to play on a progressive jackpot slot, only do so if the jackpot is at an absolute record level and play on a limited budget.

Tip 4. Only play at casinos with good bonus conditions

Many online casino players take every welcome bonus that comes along. No matter how attractive a free casino bonus may sound, always take a good look at the bonus terms and conditions. If the wagering requirements are too high (play more than 40 x ), then it is almost impossible to ever unlock that bonus.

Therefore, always choose an online casino with favourable bonus terms.

By this, we mean a maximum of 40 x the bonus and no payout limit on the bonus.

Tip 5. Learn how to unlock a casino bonus

Unlocking a casino bonus is more complicated than many people think. There are several things to watch out for. Wagering requirements, restrictions, maximum bets, maximum payouts, etc. This also means that some slots are much more suitable for unlocking a welcome bonus than others.

By learning more about how to unlock a casino bonus, you’re many times more likely to be able to do so.

Tip 6. Don’t grab every bonus!

Reload bonus offers always sound great. Deposit $€ 20, and you get a 25% bonus. It’s nice to get that extra $€ 5, isn’t it? Wrong! What a lot of players don’t realise is that this type of bonuses often come with serious wagering conditions that will require you to wager the value of the bonus + the value of your deposit several times over.

If you have to wager 40 x 25 (20 + 5) = $€ 1,000  to unlock $€ 5 of bonus money, that bonus gift suddenly seems a lot less appealing.

10-great-tips-how-to-beat-an-online-casino-table games

Tip 7. Play more table games

Table games such as Roulette,  Baccarat and Black Jack usually have a much lower house edge than slots. Video poker is also a game that, if you use the right strategy, has a very low house advantage. This allows you to play with your money for longer and increase your chances of enjoying winning sessions.

We have done extensive financial analysis (with real money betting) of optimal betting strategies for table games such as Baccarat, Blackjack and Roulette.

These help you have more fun and possibly achieving bigger cashouts.

Tip 8. Play the game that suits you

Every gambler has a unique profile. It may be that you like more high-risk games and want to win a lot of money. If that is the case, high variance slots such as Raging Rhino or Immortal Romance could be your cup of tea.

However, if you prefer to hold on to your money for a longer time and want to be entertained, choose a low variance slot like Blood Suckers, Goldilocks or Starburst.

Always choose games that fit your profile as a player. If you’re not sure if a casino game suits your style of play, use the free practise mode before you start playing with real money.

Tip 9. Choose a casino that pays out quickly

A crucial tip, that many players, unfortunately forget: only play at casinos that offer fast payouts.

When you win, you want that money in your account as soon as possible. This will prevent you from changing your mind, reversing the payout and eventually spending all of your winnings.

These are all reasons why you should always choose a fast paying online casino.

Extra tip: use an E-wallet like Neteller or Skrill. This way, the money will be in your account immediately after processing.

Tip 10. Stop in time (especially if you’re winning!)

It’s a cliché, but it’s true.

9 out of 10 casino players are not satisfied with their winnings, continue playing and end up losing it all. This is also called the Gamblers Ruin, where it is mathematically proven that every player who has a limited amount of money at his disposal, will always go broke in the long run.

Therefore, agree on a clear profit target with yourself and stick to it. It may require some discipline but quitting a casino game when you are ahead is guaranteed to help you beat the casino more often.

Play at an online casino

So, these are our 10 tips to beat the casino. We hope that you will apply them when playing at an online casino and that these tips will help you to play more wisely.

The following online casinos have been tested extensively by our team of casino experts and are trustworthy and safe.19EN17a23

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